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Western Investors Set to Return to India, EMEs as Expert Predicts 'Multiple Recessions' in US, EU_我的网站

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A |     India and emerging market economies (EMEs) will gain “substantially,” reckoned experts, as Japan-based Nomura Holdings predicts “multiple recessions” for the world’s major economies over the next 12 months.,Nomura Holdings on Monday noted that the US, Eurozone, the UK, Japan, South Korea, Australia, and Canada will fall into recession amid tightening government policies and rising living costs.,“A recession in developed countries can result in heightened interest of Foreign Portfolio Investors towards emerging markets, including India, which is the fastest-growing major economy in the world”, Pranav Haldea, managing director of Prime Database, told Sputnik.,Haldea blames the US Fed rate hike aimed at controlling the rising living costs for the current capital outflow from emerging markets, saying interest rates in the US have a huge bearing on FPI flows.,Foreign investors dumped Indian shares worth $6.4 billion in June — the highest net outflow in over two years. Foreign investors withdrew $27.9 billion from Indian equities in the first six months of 2022.,“Once the current rate hike cycle shows signs of abating, FPIs shall again look at emerging markets with renewed interest”, Haldea reckoned.,Economists observe Fed missteps such as the delayed response to inflation, which the latter labeled “transitory” until March this year, hamper economic activity in the US. The US recorded 8.6 percent inflation in May, the highest in four decades.,Massive inflationary pressure is also hindering growth in European economies such as Germany, Spain, and France, which registered 7.6, 10, and 5.2 percent price rises in May, respectively. Inflation in the UK is running at 9.1 percent.,US Unlikely to Avoid Severe Recession if Fed Hikes Interest Rates Too Quickly to Cool Inflation2 July, 02:42 GMT,Economists warn of spreading high inflation beyond commodities to services items, rentals, and wages.,Nomura analysts Rob Subbaraman and Toh Si Ying wrote in a research note that there are increasing signs that the world economy is entering a “synchronized growth slowdown, meaning countries can no longer rely on a rebound in exports for growth”.,Professor Manoj Pant, a prominent economist and vice chancellor at the Indian Institute of Foreign Trade, said that emerging markets would also be affected by a decline in trade; still, some factors may lessen the impact.,“The factors which are operating in our favor are that the bulk of the buying consumers are located in India, and the current geopolitical situation means a lot of countries are looking at India not as a complete replacement, but as a possible third area apart from China and Vietnam”, Pant told Sputnik.,Nomura forecasts a prolonged recession in the United States and a much deeper slump in Europe if Russia entirely cuts off gas to the region.,Despite the global headwinds, the Indian economy is predicted to grow at 7.2 percent in the current fiscal, much higher than any other major global economy.,Experts advise Indian policymakers to capitalize on the structural changes that began in 2016-17 onwards but that were interrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic.,“The world is moving much more towards services than manufacturing. China’s boom was based on manufacturing, the services boom will have to be in India. So the question is how well we are able to take account of that. So depending on us, we can actually gain substantially, if we are ready”, Pant added.,However, Pant labeled the new forecast as a continuation of the 2019 recessions, as there has been no boom registered anywhere in the world since then.,China infuses immense hopes to all the developing economies, as economists bet on demand from the world's second-largest economy to mitigate negative impacts, even though they face slowing export demand from the US and Europe.。    

原标题:远洋集团:前8个月销售610.6亿元,交付房源2.8万户远洋集团(03377.HK) 视觉中国 资料图9月13日,远洋集团(03377.HK)发布未经审核运营数据,8月,公司实现销售额90.6亿元,销售面积为58.53万平方米,销售均价为每平方米15500元。今年前8个月,远洋集团累计销售额610.6亿元,销售面积为369.49万平方米,销售均价为每平方米约16500元。

B | 另据远洋集团消息,1-8月,该公司已完成约2.8万户房源的交付。相较于业绩,远洋集团的资金问题备受关注。尽管截至目前,远洋集团未有公开债务违约,但其控制的远洋资本有限公司(持股49%,为第一大股东)旗下出现债务违约之后,投资者对该公司的融资、债务等问题关注更甚。

C | 9月5日,远洋资本发布关于调整“20远资01”兑付方案及提供增信措施的议案。

D | 调整后的“20远资01”兑付方案显示,该债权兑付日为2023年9月9日。

E | 若发行人行使赎回选择权,则本期债券的兑付日为2022年9月9日。

F | 无论投资者行使回售选择权与否,本期债券兑付日均为2023年9月9日。这意味着,如果远洋资本不行使赎回选择权,投资人失去2022年9月9日行使回售的选择权。据中诚信国际9月2日的公告,近日,由远洋资本提供担保、公司间接全资控股股东远洋资本控股有限公司向澳门国际银行股份有限公司获取的2000万美元借款到期,该笔借款未能按期归还,截至目前处于逾期状态,公司与澳门国际银行股份有限公司正进行协商,尚未达成一致。对于远洋资本的资金问题,远洋集团在8月31日召开的投资者会议上表示,远洋资本是公司持股49%的联合营公司,是两个独立的经济实体、法律实体,集团支持远洋资本独立解决流动性管理问题,将在合规的前提下积极履行股东应尽责任、义务和相关承诺。远洋集团同时向澎湃新闻表示,鉴于行业形势变化超出预期,加之部分投资项目周期较长,退出时点与债务到期节点存在一定错配情况,当前远洋资本面临一定的流动性压力。

G | 远洋资本债务处置不会影响集团的经营基本面及偿债、融资能力。今年以来,远洋集团在融资端也多有动作。8月19日,远洋集团参与了中国银行间市场交易商协会召集的民营房企座谈会,探讨通过中债信用增进投资股份有限公司增信支持的方式支持民营房企发债融资。5月,据中国银行间市场交易商协会消息,远洋集团将定向发行2022-2024年度债务融资工具,发行金额为30亿元,品种为定向发行债务融资工具(PPN),目前项目状态已更新为“完成注册”。更早前的4月21日,远洋集团宣布,公司发行2025年到期的2亿美元增信绿色票据,年息率3.8%,用于偿还一年内到期的中长期外债。与此同时,远洋集团还在处置资产换取更多现金。

H | 6月14日,澎湃新闻曾报道,位于北京市丰台区丽泽商务区的远洋锐中心项目已经出售,交易金额50.15亿元,交易对手为项目合作方中国平安人寿保险股份有限公司。据证券日报此前报道,4月,位于北京朝阳区酒仙桥商圈的颐堤港一期项目股权出现变更——北京航颐企业管理咨询合伙企业(有限合伙)新进入两家股东,分别是国寿置业投资管理有限公司、国寿启航壹期(天津)股权投资基金合伙企业,合作金额约30亿元。返回搜狐,查看更多责任编辑:

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